Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Is Los Angeles Important?

Watching the drama unfold this past week helped me to confirm my suspicion that Los Angeles or “LA” is important to the world. The public ceremony celebrating the life of Dr. Jerry Buss made me think of our fair city and what it means to so many. Dignitaries and business people came from all over the world to pay tribute to this amazing man. Some might call him simple, but there was nothing simple about Jerry Buss. But when you live right, and treat everyone with respect, it can seem that you are simple.

I had a good friend named Dr. Stan Walch. He was a buddy with Dr. Buss back in their school days. He tells a story of Dr. Buss as the smartest man he ever knew: “We played monopoly for real money and Dr. Buss always won! We played without tokens and without the titles. We played from memory and Dr. Buss had the best memory." I am sure Dr. Walch and Dr. Buss are playing Monopoly together again.

Then I watched the Oscar’s telecast and thought it was one of the best I've seen in my life. I liked the Captain Kirk bit a lot. During each break they played music from classic movies, conjuring up memories of the past with the music references. I loved Barbara Streisand. My only complaint was for the Jaws theme which played when speakers went overtime. Most of the show was classy. Congratulations to Argo for Best Picture and all of the other winners.

We are a city under siege. Money is pouring in from many different states and countries. Buyers from all over the world have descended on Los Angeles to purchase real estate. This starts in housing and gradually moves on to investment and commercial development properties.

If you look outside, the weather tells a great story. If you need more reasons, let’s discuss the notoriety of being in Los Angeles. We are Hollywood, the capitol of people’s dreams. Every young person growing up wants to live a life of Entourage, fast, fun, sexy etc. And they believe it can be found here in Los Angeles. They are not so wrong, but it comes at a price.

You need money to live in Los Angeles, the playground of the universe. Now New York, Amsterdam, Rio and other amazing places will argue that they are the center of the cultural universe of fun and excitement. They are right and so are we. We are the creators of Reality TV; a Pink’s chili dog can be on equal footing to a night at Spago; and living in Silverlake can be more prestigious than living in Beverly Hills. The artist sub-culture in Los Angeles is the envy of the world. The free LA Weekly newspaper is more popular than the Los Angeles Times.

How exciting to own real estate in Los Angeles. Growth and development is at an all time high. Demand for new shops and creative space is booming. There is a shortage of quality distribution space. So what does all of this mean? Where are the opportunities? Is it time to sell or buy?

If you read my previous posts, you know I always say that you should never sell real estate in Los Angeles. But for some, they need to sell. There is death, divorce, retirement, relocation and the inability to manage the property correctly. These factors create opportunities for someone else to buy in. If there is an offer that is too good to be true, and you can move the money into an exchange, then selling makes sense.

So I say: be a buyer. I would look into any single-story properties on major streets and thoroughfares. Check out the San Fernando Valley for all types of properties. I would be looking into distressed real estate in South Los Angeles as the demographics are changing and the need for basic services is growing too.

Current low interest rates allow everyone to participate in this real estate boom. The time is now for people to pool resources and get in the game. The inflation that will surely follow tomorrow will more than make up for what you pay today.

We just had a primary nominating election for mayor and many other offices. The two top mayoral candidates, Eric Garcetti and Wendy Greuel, will have a run-off election on May 21st. What I find sad is that only 16% of eligible voters actually voted, one of the lowest turnouts in memory. The apathy the population has for government tells a story of future distress. The city’s government is in an economic crisis and the city may be in a citizen crisis as well. Most citizens are living paycheck to paycheck or are on some form of government assistance. Of course, there are the wealthy that are in good shape, but they have to survive within a system of government too. The population is becoming more divided. This is not good and is outright scary.

Maybe that’s a real reason to sell?

I don't mind paying more taxes if it goes to support general services and helps people to get back on their feet. We are all in this together and need to sacrifice to make our home a better place. Real problems in our city, state and country will need real leadership and solutions if we are to thrive. We are a diverse city with a need to come together in many different ways to move forward and grow.

Meanwhile, I am still a buyer in this market.